Tuesday, 21 December 2010

2010, A Year of Real Estate In Review


Here’s a look at some of the events that made headlines this past year:2010 has been a year that resembled an amusement park roller coaster ride, complete with twists & turns . But the year will also go down in the record books as the year that realtors took a good look at the value added services clients are paying for. Or choosing not to.
January
The year in Toronto got off to a good start with reports that 87,308 transactions were processed during 2009 – a 17% increase over 2008. That included 5,541 properties bought and sold during the month of December 2009 alone. The average home price climbed 4 % in 2009 to $395,460, according to the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB).
A survey of 1,225 Royal LePage agents and brokers across Canada revealed buyers were still nervous about the stability of the economy. When asked to comment on the most common fears they heard from home buyers during the last three months, 38% of Royal LePage agents and brokers cited economic stability and related factors such as job security. 23% said home buyers fear they may not be able to sell their existing homes at the price they are hoping for, while 12% said buyers are hesitant because they believe prices have not yet hit the bottom of the cycle.
Meanwhile, realtors in the Halifax area were encouraged by news that sales from November 2009 to January 2010 were up 27.5% compared to the same months last year. Nova Scotia Association of Realtors president Linda Smardon explained it was no surprise. “This time last year we were experiencing large decreases so we fully expect our numbers to be up provincially. With listings down and sales up, the real estate market is more balanced,” she said in a news release, adding the average price in the province was up 8.5 %.
February
February was the month of Valentines Day, and TREB released statistics showing clients loved buying and selling properties, reporting that there were 4,986 transactions in January, a “huge” increase over the 2,670 sales during the same period in recession battered 2009.
Century21.ca announced they would be adding Chinese language support for sales representatives and brokers in the Century 21 System. “Cantonese and Mandarin are commonly spoken languages in Canada’s metropolitan centres such as Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary and Montreal,” says Century 21 Canada President Don Lawby. “We now offer a unique advantage to franchises and sales representatives whose clients predominantly speak these Chinese languages.” Century21.ca already serves Canadians in the country’s two official languages – English and French – and the addition of Chinese makes it the first trilingual, nationally branded real estate website in Canada.
March
Greater Toronto realtors reported 10,430 sales through the MLS in March, pushing total first quarter 2010 sales to 22,418 – the best result on record under the current TREB boundaries.
March was also when CREA filed its response to the Competition Bureau’s challenge of its MLS rules, calling comments by commissioner Melanie Aitken “preposterous”. “There is simply no legal, economic or factual basis upon which to order the remedy sought by the commissioner,” a statement from CREA said.
CREA’s response, filed with the Competition Tribunal March 26, stated the challenge was “fundamentally misconceived. Contrary to the commissioner’s allegations, is it simply untrue that consumers have only one option if they want to sell a house using a MLS system operated by a local real estate board or association?”
CREA even went after Aitken for statements to the media. “The commissioner of competition has stated in multiple media statements that (CREA’s MLS rule amendments) amount to a ‘blank cheque’ because new anti-competitive rules could be introduced by CREA or its member boards. In CREA’s view, this allegation is preposterous. CREA has and always has had the ability to make rules, as do its member boards. CREA and member boards...comply with competition law,” says the response.
CREA officials also addressed the Competition Bureau’s statements that “MLS restrictions have caused at least one broker to exit the relevant market.” It’s a reference to the Toronto firm Realtysellers, which has pending legal action against TREB and CREA. In its response, CREA added, “Realtysellers suspended operations because of impending disciplinary proceedings. The Real Estate Council of Ontario commenced proceedings to strip Realtysellers of its broker registration because the conduct of its principal Stephen Moranis afforded ‘reasonable grounds for belief that he will not carry on business in accordance with the law and with integrity and honesty.’” It said the RECO investigation and proceedings against Realtysellers were commenced prior to CREA’s March 2007 introduction of the interpretations to the MLS rules.
Finally, the last word went to Michael Polzler. The Re/Max Ontario-Atlantic executive vice-president took out an advertisement in one industry publication, taking aim at part-time realtors who do one deal per quarter. He questioned their professionalism and value and launched a website for realtors to voice their thoughts.
CREA and RECO declined to comment specifically on Polzler’s letter, although RECO’s communications manager Sherri Haigh suggested Polzler take his concerns to Ontario’s Ministry of Consumer Services.
April
In April, real estate boards and associations across Canada were trying to get rid of land transfer taxes. The Winnipeg Real Estate Board released a study showing Manitoba had seen its land transfer tax revenues increase from $31 million in 2006 to $44.8 million in 2008, representing a 44 % increase. The board cited a November 2007 land transfer tax study by Will Dunning, the chief economist of the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals (CAAMP), showing “the taxes levied on land transfers are far in excess of any social or governmental ‘costs’ that result from the activity of home buying and therefore these discriminatory taxes are not justifiable.”
Dunning compared 1997 to the first nine months of 2007 and showed over a slightly less than ten year period, the tax payable had gone up more rapidly than house prices.
TREB officials released a poll showing that 70 % of Torontonians believe the Toronto land transfer tax was not a fair way for the city to address its budgetary needs. That was up from 62 % of Torontonians who felt the same way according to an earlier Environics poll conducted for TREB in 2007, prior to the implementation of the tax. That still didn’t stop TREB from also reporting 10,898 sales through MLS in April, representing a 34 % increase compared to April 2009. There were also 20,683 new listings in April –a 59 % annual increase. Both the sales and new listings results amounted to new records for the month of April under the current TREB boundaries
May
Greater Toronto realtors reported 9,470 sales though the MLS system in May, representing a one % dip from May. 2009. In comparison to previous years, this was the third highest May sales result on record.
Century 21 Canada unveiled a new branding direction during May as part of a multi-year online marketing strategy that it says has seen the number of visits to Century21.ca rise by nearly ten-fold since late 2007. “The goal behind our new tagline, Connected to More, is to communicate to home buyers how Century 21 has evolved as a brand,” company president Don Lawby said in a news release. “It also represents our vision for how we want consumers, potential sales representatives and franchisees to relate to the Century 21 brand in the future.”
May was also when realtors got suspicious and angry with Real Trends. The US-based research firm had been producing a list of Top 500 brokers for 22 years, ranking everyone by number of transactions and closed sales dollar volume. When it attempted to release a Canadian Top 200 list, however, there were initial problems with accuracy. Real Trends said it was due to not all brokers returning their surveys, and still wanted to do the lists on an annual basis.
June
The battle between CREA and the Competition Bureau heated up in June with the tribunal chair turning down Lawrence Dale’s request for intervenor status in the case. The co-founder of the former Realtysellers discount brokerage was expected to be a witness in the case while another applicant, Stephen Skelly, vice-president of operations for the National FSBO Network, was granted intervenor status. Skelley was asked to submit an affidavit for cross-examination by counsel for both parties in the case.
In other news, Greater Toronto realtors reported 8,442 sales through MLS in June. This represented a 23% decrease compared with the 10, 995 originally sold during June of the previous year.
That was still substantially less unit volume than in the Vancouver area, where the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reported 2,972 properties were sold, a decline of 30.2% compared to the 4,259 properties that changed hands in June 2009, the highest selling June on record for the board.
But Edmonton realtors were still satisfied with the pace in their market with sales of 1,539 properties in June, said Larry Westergard, president of the Realtors Association of Edmonton. “There was less external pressure on the market from incentives or rate changes last month and as a result the market seems to be operating in a normal controlled manner...It has been...very busy in REALTORS® offices as they list client’s properties for sale, book showings for buyers and attend open houses. This has not resulted in immediate sales, however, and, in anticipation that this slowdown will continue through the year, we have reduced our 2010 sales forecast by 2,000 units from 21,000 to just 19,000.” There were 9,406 residential properties in inventory at the end of June as a result of 3,473 new residential listings and sales of the 1,539 properties. The sales-to-listing ratio was 44%. The average days-on-market was up at 47 days. The record inventory levels were set in September 2007 at 9,913 residential properties available through the Edmonton MLS system, according to Edmonton board officials.


July
On July 1st, Ontario and British Columbia joined  the Atlantic provinces of New Brunswick, Newfoundland and Nova Scotia when they introduced the controversial Harmonized Sales Tax (HST).  The new tax is 13%  in Ontario and 12%  in B.C.
Meanwhile, over a dozen Kitchener Waterloo area realtors met with Ontario PC leader Tim Hudak to discuss the controversial land transfer tax. Hudak had advocated for a one year land transfer tax holiday to give buyers a break for that first year.
August
CREA launched a new national television commercial month called Faces, that was intended to highlight the value realtors bring to home buying and selling. In the 30-second ad, viewers see and hear testimonials from several individuals about their experience with their realtor. Men and women representing people from all walks of life talk about their unique needs when buying and selling a home. While they talk, their faces continually change, eventually becoming another person with another positive story.
September
Keller Williams Realty announced plans to launch a Keller Williams Realty Commercial Division this fall. “Our goal is to expand our platform and make Keller Williams Realty the real estate company of choice in both the residential and commercial worlds by providing our associates the technology, marketing tools, and resources to succeed in the commercial business,” Mark Willis, CEO of Keller Williams Realty, said in a press release.
Re/Max launched a new entrepreneurial series for its top sales representatives, led by real estate coach Ken Goodfellow. The entrepreneurial program, exclusive to Re/Max, provides sales associates who have achieved Platinum Status (more than $250,000 in annual commission) with “the skills necessary to create a ‘systems driven’ business, including strategies to achieve long-term growth, financial planning and leadership skills for better results,” the company said.
October
October will be remembered as the month when The Big Vote took place.
Representatives of the country’s 101 real estate boards crowded into the ballroom of a Newfoundland hotel to vote 97% in favour of a deal that some warned could mean the end of the Canadian Real Estate Association. Visitors rushed to the PropertyWire.ca website almost immediately, making it the most-read story of the year.
There were also reports that the federal Competition Bureau may not be finished with organized real estate and set its sights on investigating how MLS data is stored.
The Ontario Real Estate Association (OREA) was also upset this  month, but over another issue. The group commissioned an Ipsos Reid survey that showed 56% of Ontario residents mistakenly believed the new Harmonized Sales Tax (HST) applied to the full purchase price of a resale home, when it is only levied on the various transaction fees associated with the purchase. “We’re doing our part to inform our clients, but we shouldn’t have to do it alone. We’re calling on the Ontario government to launch an immediate public awareness campaign to educate taxpayers and end the HST confusion,” said Dorothy Mason, President of OREA.“For average homebuyers, learning that the HST does not apply to the full purchase price means a $40,000 saving they weren’t expecting.”
TREB reported 6,681 sales through the MLS system in October 2010, while the REBGV showed home sales were steady the past four months, lending a sense of stability to the market. According to the MLS Link Housing Price Index (HPI), the benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver over the last 12 months has increased 4.6% to $579,349 in October 2010 from $553,702 in October 2009. Since June, however, residential home prices in Greater Vancouver have remained relatively unchanged, declining 0.2%. “We’ve seen a lot more consistency and less volatility in recent months when it comes to both number of sales and pricing, although it’s important to remember that conditions often vary between communities and neighbourhoods,” Jake Moldowan, REBGV president said.
November
CREA announced that, after a six month review of potential candidates, Gary Simonsen would become its next CEO when Pierre Beauchamp retires next spring.  Well-known within organized real estate in Canada, Simonsen has been CREA’s chief operating officer since 2008, having previously served for a decade as associate executive officer.
Toronto area realtors reported 6,510 existing home sales in November – down 13 % from 7,446 sales in November 2009. New listings were also down 13 % annually to 8,642, according to a news release. Meanwhile in Greater Vancouver, residential home sales improved in November compared to the previous four months, with the number of sales posted on the MLS coming in slightly higher than the 10-year average for that month. REBGV reports that the number of residential property sales in Greater Vancouver totaled 2,509 in November 2010. This represents a 7.4% increase compared to October 2010 and an 18.6 % decline from November 2009.
December
According to the sixth Annual State of the Residential Mortgage Market report from the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals (CAAMP), Canadian homeowners are comfortable with their mortgage debt, have significant home equity and could withstand an increase in their mortgage interest rate.
With a month to go in the year, Winnipeg realtors were preparing to celebrate a new record for dollar volume sales. MLS sales totaled $2.58 billion as of the end of November, surpassing the previous record of $2.47 billion set in 2009. “In many respects,” said WinnipegREALTORS president Claude Davis, “the first 11 months bore a striking resemblance to last year with the exception that prices are continuing to climb, as they have been doing year-over year since 2003. “Looking ahead to the end of the year, WinnipegREALTORS has already set a new annual MLS dollar volume record and will see MLS sales finish over the 12,000 unit mark — a level only surpassed five times previously,” he added. With 11,583 units sold by the end of November, year-to-date MLS® sales were virtually deadlocked with last year’s total of 11,563. November MLS unit sales were down less than one % to 829 transactions. On the other hand dollar volume sales during last month rose by 10 % to $182.2 million when compared to the same month in 2009, which is a new record for the month.

Friday, 10 December 2010

No Surprises From The Bank of Canada


Bank of CanadaInterest rate announcementCanadian mortgage ratesMortgage ratesLending ratesOvernight interest rateMark CarneyBOCGlobal economic recoveryInterest rate hikeEconomic risks Monetary Policy ReportCanadian recoveryInflationReal Estate ProfessionalsAs many expected, there were no big surprises in this morning’s Bank of Canada announcement, where maintenance was the name of the game. There are also no changes anticipated for the remainder for 2010, and at least the early part of 2011.
Details of a landmark deal between the Canadian Real Estate Association and federal Competition Bureau were met with mixed reactions this morning when they were finally released to the public. The agreement was posted on the Competition Bureau website (see link at the bottom of this article) Monday shortly before noon Eastern Standard Time. That came less than a day after representatives of almost 100 boards and associations voted 97 per cent in favour of the CREA deal, avoiding a costly court...
The Bank of Canada announced this morning (Tuesday 7th December) that it will maintain its target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 1 1/4 per cent and the deposit rate is 3/4 per cent.
While the global economic recovery unfolding as was forecast, some economic risks have increased. As anticipated, private domestic demand in the United States is beginning to gain some momentum, while growth in emerging-market economies has begun to settle in to a steadier, but still healthy, rate. Globally, Europe is beginning to see a slight recovery, according to recent data. However, there is a larger risk that sovereign debt concerns in several countries could re-ignite renewed strains in global financial markets.
The Canadian recovery is proceeding at a moderate pace, although there are indications of a slight slowdown in economic activity in the second half of 2010, beyond what the BOC had anticipated in its October Monetary Policy Report. In Q3, household spending was stronger than the Bank had projected; business investment growth was healthy.  Data suggests, though, that net exports were weaker than projected and continued to place a strain of significance on growth. This re-enforces a previously-identified risk that a combination of disappointing productivity performance and persistent strength in the Canadian dollar could dampen the expected recovery of net exports.
Canadian Inflation is in line with what the Bank of Canada expects; there has been little change to the underlying pressures that affect prices.
So then, the Bank has decided to maintain the target for the overnight rate at 1 per cent. There will still be considerable monetary stimulus in place, which will help achieve the 2 per cent inflation target in an environment of significant excess supply in Canada. 
 As targets fell short of the BOC`s expectations, in terms of growth, at this point, any further reduction in monetary policy stimulus would need to be carefully considered.   There are no more anticipated announcements in this regard until January 18, 2011.
In terms of what this means for Real Estate Professionals, it is still business as usual, with no significant changes at this point- which is a double edged sword of sorts, as this is an indication of a favourable borrowing environment, but does not paint a picture of a robust economy. There is still growth, but it is slowing down.  The rate maintenance will hopefully give the economy legs boost it back to health.
There is some speculation that there may be rate hikes early in 2011, if the economic growth warrants it.

Wednesday, 8 December 2010

HOUSING MARKET CHARTS

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Monday, 6 December 2010

Five Per Cent Down Payment Program

With as little as five per cent down payment, from personal or other sources (see below for eligible other sources), all home buyers have access to mortgage insurance enabling them to enter the housing market, as long as they can meet the standards for a five year fixed-rate mortgage.

Details
  • Mortgage insurance for 95 per cent mortgages is available to both first time and repeat home buyers. Homebuyers have the option of using personal sources, such as savings or gifts, or other sources, such as lender incentives, borrowed funds/credit, or sweat equity (the amount of money spent to help construct the home) for the required five per cent down payment.
  • Buyers using the Program may consume up to 32 per cent of their gross monthly household income for payments of principal interest, property taxes and heating, and total debt load cannot exceed 40 per cent of monthly household income.
  • Buyers using the Program must be able to qualify for a five year fixed-rate mortgage even if they choose a mortgage with a lower interest rate and shorter term.
  • Insurance premiums on loans for 95 per cent of the lending value of the house where the five percent down payment comes from personal sources will be 2.75 per cent of the mortgage loan. Insurance premiums on loans for 95 per cent of the lending value of the house where the five percent down payment comes from other sources will be 2.9 per cent of the mortgage loan. This premium can be added to the mortgage.
  • Borrowers are required to demonstrate, at the time of application, their ability to cover closing costs equal to at least 1.5% of the purchase price.
  • Where the minimum equity requirement­ is being met by way of a financial gift, the funds must be in possession­ of the borrower 15 days before making an offer to purchase.
  • For homeowners who used the Program to purchase their home, the maximum amount that can be withdrawn if re-financing their mortgage is 90 per cent of the value of their home.
  • The Five Per Cent Down Payment Program is not available for non-owner occupied properties. These properties require a minimum down payment of 20 per cent.
For more information call CMHC at 1-800-668-2642 or access throughwww.cmhc.ca

Friday, 3 December 2010

Land Transfer Tax Rebates (Provincial and Toronto)


Program
First-time buyers of new and re-sale homes are eligible to receive rebates of the provincial and Toronto land transfer taxes. The maximum provincial land transfer tax (LTT) rebate for first-time buyers is $2,000 and the maximum Toronto LTT rebate for first time buyers is $3,725. A FULL rebate of the Toronto land transfer tax is also available for ALL buyers who entered into Agreements of Purchase and Sale prior to December 31, 2007.
Details
Provincial LTT
  • Provincial LTT is payable anywhere in Ontario (including Toronto)
  • Maximum provincial LTT first-time buyer rebate is $2,000 (equivalent to the provincial LTT payable on a $227,500 property).
  • For RESALE homes, the provincial rebate applies only to first-time buyers who entered into Agreements of Purchase and Sale AFTER December 13, 2007.
  • First-time buyers of NEWLY CONSTRUCTED HOMES are eligible for the provincial rebate even if they entered into Agreements of Purchase and Sale prior to December 13, 2007.
  • The provincial LTT for residential properties is calculated as follows (An easy-to-use calculator is available at www.NoHomeBuyingTax.com):
    • 0.5% of the amount of the purchase price up to and including $55,000, plus
    • 1% of the amount of the purchase price between $55,000 and $250,000, plus
    • 1.5% of the amount of the purchase price between $250,000 and $400,000, plus
    • 2% of the amount of the purchase price above $400,000
Toronto LTT
  • Toronto LTT is payable only for properties in the City of Toronto.
    Maximum Toronto LTT first-time buyer rebate is $3,725 (equivalent to the Toronto
  • LTT payable on a $400,000 property).
    ANY purchaser who entered into an Agreement of Purchase and Sale prior to
    December 31, 2007 is eligible for a FULL rebate of the Toronto LTT.
  • Toronto LTT rebates are in addition to any provincial LTT rebate that the buyer
    qualifies for.
  • The Toronto LTT for residential properties is calculated as follows (An easy-to-use calculator is available at www.NoHomeBuyingTax.com):
    • 0.5% of the amount of the purchase price up to and including $55,000, plus
    • 1% of the amount of the purchase price between $55,000 and $400,000, plus
    • 2% of the amount of the purchase price above $400,000
First-Time Buyer Eligibility


To be eligible as a first-time buyer for the provincial LTT rebate and/or Toronto LTT rebate,
  • The purchaser must be at least 18 years of age.
  • The purchaser must occupy the home as his or her principal residence no later than nine months after the date of the conveyance or disposition.
  • The purchaser cannot have previously owned a home, or had any ownership
    interest in a home, anywhere in the world, at any time.
  • If the purchaser has a spouse, the spouse cannot have owned a home, or had any ownership interest in a home, anywhere in the world while he or she was the purchaser’s spouse. If this is the case, NO refund is available to either spouse. Note: If a purchaser’s spouse owned an interest in a home BEFORE becoming the purchaser’s spouse, but not while the purchaser’s spouse, the purchaser may be eligible for some rebate.
More Information


Provincial LTT:
Ontario Ministry of Finance:
1-800-263-7965
Toronto LTT:
City of Toronto: 416-338-0338

Homeownership Becoming A More Affordable Reality For Canadians, RBC




In a report released on Monday by the Economics Research team at RBC, the ratio of pre-tax household income it takes to own a home declined in the third quarter of 2010 after an entire year in which the affordability of owning a home had gone downhill.  The report cited lower home prices and mortgage rates as reasons for the upswing.RBC Economics researchHome ownershipAffordable home ownershipCanadian home pricingBefore-tax incomeRoyal Bank of CanadaLower home pricesLower mortgage ratesMonthly mortgage chargesHome affordabilityDeclining interest ratesInterest rate hikeBank of CanadaPre-tax incomeRobert HogueAccording to the Royal Bank of Canada, home ownership was in reach for more Canadians in the past few months.
Check out this article
Details of a landmark deal between the Canadian Real Estate Association and federal Competition Bureau were met with mixed reactions this morning when they were finally released to the public. The agreement was posted on the Competition Bureau website (see link at the bottom of this article) Monday shortly before noon Eastern Standard Time. That came less than a day after representatives of almost 100 boards and associations voted 97 per cent in favour of the CREA deal, avoiding a costly court...
“The improvement in affordability during the third quarter has relieved some of the stress that had been mounting in Canada’s housing market over the past year,” said Robert Hogue, senior economist for RBC. “After appreciating rapidly during the strong rebound in resale activity last year and early this year, national home prices recently came off the burner and retreated modestly as market conditions cooled considerably through the spring and summer.”
RBC quoted recent stats which states that, on average nationally, it took 40.4% of household income, to own a bungalow between July and September.  That figure came in at 2.4 % lower than it had been in Q2.
There is thought as well that this  affordability could get even better and more accessible for more Canadians, with the anticipation of  additional cuts in the posted five-year fixed rate already in place in the early part of the fourth quarter, coupled with  previous home price increases rolling back  in certain markets.   This hope though, is tempered with the expectation that the Bank of Canada will increase rates again in Q2, with the intention of creating a more upwardly stable mortgage rate environment.
"Higher mortgage rates will be the dominant factor raising homeownership costs beyond the short term, although increasing household income - as the job situation continues to strengthen in Canada - will provide some positive offset," added Hogue. "We expect housing demand and supply to remain mostly in balance overall, setting the course for very modest home price increases."
There was improvement nationally in terms of home ownership affordability in the Q3, in particular in British Columbia, where elevated property values enhanced the overall effect of falling interest rates, in calculating monthly mortgage charges. Ontario saw a similar drop in homeownership costs, responsible for creating downward pressure on the RBC Measures below their long-term average in the province for bungalows and condominiums. Alberta and Manitoba are the only two provinces where the RBC Measures stand below their long-term average in all housing categories.
RBC's Housing Affordability Measure for a detached bungalow in Canada's largest cities is as follows: Vancouver 68.8 per cent (down 5.4 percentage points from the last quarter), Toronto 47.2 per cent (down 3.0 percentage points), Montreal 41.7 per cent (down 1.3 percentage points), Ottawa 38.2 per cent (down 2.9 percentage points), Calgary 37.1 per cent (down 2.0 percentage points) and Edmonton 32.7 per cent (down 2.0 percentage points).